31/05/2024

Iterambere ry'ubukungu, Ifaranga ryoroha

Dukurikije imibare ivuguruye yashyizwe ahagaragara na Minisiteri y’ubucuruzi muri Amerika ku ya 30 Gicurasi, umuvuduko w’umwaka w’igihembwe cy’igihembwe cya mbere cy’umusaruro rusange w’Amerika muri rusange mu gihembwe cya mbere cya 2024 wari 1.3%, ukamanuka ku ijanisha rya 0.3 ku ijana ugereranyije na 1.6% kandi ugatinda cyane ugereranije na 3.4% mu gihembwe cya kane cy’umwaka ushize.

Iri hinduka ryatewe ahanini n’amafaranga yakoreshejwe ku giti cye (PCE) atageze ku biteganijwe. Ubwiyongere bwa buri gihembwe-ku gihembwe cya PCE mu gihembwe cya mbere bwari 2%, bwamanutseho 0.5 ku ijana ugereranije n’ikigereranyo cya mbere cya 2,5% kandi munsi y’isoko ryateganijwe kuri 2.2%.

Ku bijyanye n’ifaranga, igipimo cy’ibiciro cya PCE cyazamutseho 3,3% ku gihembwe ngarukamwaka buri gihembwe mu gihembwe cya mbere, munsi gato y’ibiteganijwe mbere. Igipimo fatizo cyibiciro bya PCE cyazamutseho 3,6%, cyamanutseho 0.1 ku ijana uhereye ku kigereranyo cya mbere cya 3.7%, kandi kiri hejuru cyane ugereranije na 2% mu gihembwe cya kane cy’umwaka ushize. Mugihe ibi byerekana ko igitutu cyifaranga kikiriho, kirerekana kandi ko ifaranga riri munzira yo kugereranya.

Impamvu nyamukuru yatumye umuvuduko w’iterambere rya GDP wiyongera mu gihembwe cya mbere ni intege nke zikomeye mu gukoresha ibicuruzwa, cyane cyane ku binyabiziga, hamwe n’imikoreshereze y’imikoreshereze y’abaguzi ivugururwa hasi. Ugereranije n'ikigereranyo cya mbere, ibyoherezwa mu mahanga n'amafaranga leta ikoresha nabyo byagabanutse. Nyamara, ishoramari ryo guturamo n’ibitumizwa mu mahanga byagaragaje ko byagarutse.

GDP iteganijwe kuzamuka muri Q2

Nubwo iterambere ry’ubukungu ryadindije mu gihembwe cya mbere, iteganyagihe riheruka ryerekana ko umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere mu gihembwe cya kabiri ushobora kugera kuri 3% cyangwa irenga, ibyo bikaba byerekana ko ubukungu bushobora kuzamuka mu gihe gito. Ariko, kuramba n'imbaraga zo gukira bikomeje kutamenyekana.

Abasesenguzi bemeza ko nubwo GDP yongeye kwiyongera mu gihembwe cya kabiri, ubukungu bw’Amerika ntibushobora kwerekana imbaraga zikomeye mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka.

Abaguzi bagomba kwibira mubyo bazigamye kugirango bagumane urwego rwakoreshejwe muri iki gihe, kandi ifaranga ridahwema kwangiza imbaraga zabo zo kugura. Byongeye kandi, amatora y’umukuru w’igihugu ateganijwe ashobora gutuma ubucuruzi bwitondera uburyo bwo gukoresha no gushora imari.

Ibiteganijwe ku isoko ry’imari ku gipimo cyagabanijwe na Banki nkuru y’igihugu mu mwaka byagabanutse cyane. Isoko ryagabanutse ku gipimo cya mbere ryasunitswe kuva muri Nzeri byari biteganijwe kugeza mu Gushyingo. Amahirwe yo kugabanuka kw'ibiciro muri Nzeri nayo yavuye kuri 70% agera kuri 50%.

Kutavuga rumwe mugihe cyo kugabanya ibiciro byiyongera

Inyandikomvugo yavuye mu nama ya politiki ya Banki nkuru y’igihugu yerekana ko abitabiriye amahugurwa benshi bemeza ko hakomeje gushidikanywaho ku bijyanye n’ifaranga kandi bemeza ko amakuru aheruka atigeze yizera icyizere cy’ifaranga rikamanuka kugera kuri 2%. Ibi birerekana ko Federasiyo ifata ifaranga nkikintu cyambere mubyemezo bya politiki yifaranga.

Ariko, hariho ibyiringiro muri bo. Guverineri wa Banki nkuru y’igihugu, Christopher Waller, afite icyizere cyo kugabanuka kw'ifaranga, avuga ko nta mpamvu yo kongera izamuka ry’ibiciro kandi ko ishyigikiye igabanuka ry’ibiciro hakiri kare.

Mu ijambo yavugiye mu kigo cya Peterson gishinzwe ubukungu mpuzamahanga ku ya 21 Gicurasi, Waller yavuze ko amakuru y’ifaranga ryo muri Mata agaragaza ko iterambere ryerekeza ku ntego ya 2% rishobora kuba ryarasubukuwe, byerekana ko ifaranga ry’Amerika ritihuta kandi ko izamuka ry’ibiciro ridakenewe.

Waller yibanze cyane cyane kuri PMI idakora. Amakuru aheruka kwerekana yerekana ko PMI idakora inganda zifite uruhare runini mu bicuruzwa, yagabanutse munsi ya 50, igera ku ntera yo hasi kuva mu Kuboza 2022, byerekana ko ibikorwa by’ubukungu byagabanutse.

Yavuze ko niba aya makuru akomeje, bivuze ko ibikorwa by’ubukungu hanze y’inganda bidindira. Niba aya makuru akomeje koroshya mumezi 3-5 ari imbere, Federasiyo irashobora gutangira kugabanya ibiciro.

Ku rundi ruhande, guverineri wa Banki nkuru y’igihugu, Michelle Bowman, yiteze ko ifaranga ry’Amerika rizakomeza kuba hejuru mu gihe kirekire kandi yongeraho ko izamuka ry’ibiciro bishoboka niba bibaye ngombwa.

Ati: "Niba amakuru ari imbere yerekana ko iterambere mu kurwanya ifaranga ryahagaze cyangwa ryahindutse, ndakomeza kugira ubushake bwo kuzamura igipimo cy’imari ya leta mu nama zizaza".

Itangazo: Iyi ngingo yahinduwe na AAA LENDINGS; amwe mumashusho yakuwe kuri enterineti, umwanya wurubuga ntuhagarariwe kandi ntushobora gusubirwamo nta ruhushya. Hariho ingaruka ku isoko kandi ishoramari rigomba kwitonda. Iyi ngingo ntabwo igizwe ninama zishoramari kugiti cye, kandi ntizita ku ntego zihariye zishoramari, uko ubukungu bwifashe cyangwa ibikenerwa nabakoresha kugiti cyabo. Abakoresha bagomba gusuzuma niba ibitekerezo, ibitekerezo cyangwa imyanzuro ikubiye hano ihuye nibibazo byabo. Shora ukurikije ingaruka zawe.