Inkomoko yishusho: https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/inyungu-rate

Nkuko isoko yari isanzwe ibitekereza mbere yinama ko Federasiyo nayo izamura ibiciro amanota 75 shingiro muri uku kwezi, isoko yibanze ku isoko ry’ududomo ndetse n’ubukungu bwatangajwe nyuma y’inama.

Akadomo, akadomo kagaragara kubantu bose bafata ibyemezo byinyungu za Federasiyo mumyaka mike iri imbere, yatanzwe mubishushanyo;umurongo utambitse w'iyi mbonerahamwe ni umwaka, umuhuzabikorwa uhagaritse ni igipimo cy'inyungu, kandi buri kadomo kari ku mbonerahamwe kagaragaza ibyo ufata ibyemezo.

Inkomoko yishusho: Banki nkuru yigihugu

Nkuko bigaragara ku mbonerahamwe, umubare munini (17) muri 19 bafata ibyemezo bya Federasiyo bemeza ko inyungu z’inyungu zizaba 4.00% -4.5% nyuma y’izamuka ry’ibiciro bibiri muri uyu mwaka.

Hano rero hari ibintu bibiri byerekana ibiciro bibiri bisigaye mbere yumwaka.

Kuzamura igipimo cya 100 bps mu mpera zumwaka, kuzamuka kabiri kwa 50 bps buri umwe (abafata ibyemezo 8 barabishyigikiye).

Inama ebyiri zisigaye kuzamura ibiciro kuri 125 bps, 75 bps mu Gushyingo na 50 bps mu Kuboza (abafata ibyemezo 9 barabishyigikiye).

Urebye kandi ku biteganijwe ko izamuka ry’ibiciro ryateganijwe mu 2023, ubwinshi bw’amajwi bugabanijwe hagati ya 4.25% na 5%.

Ibi bivuze ko inyungu ziteganijwe hagati yumwaka utaha ari 4.5% kugeza 4.75%.Niba inyungu zizamutse zigera kuri 4.25% mu nama ebyiri zisigaye muri uyu mwaka, bivuze ko umwaka utaha hazabaho izamuka ry’amanota 25 gusa.

Rero, ukurikije ibiteganijwe kuri uyu mugambi utudomo, ntihazaba umwanya munini wa Federasiyo kuzamura ibiciro umwaka utaha.

Naho kubyerekeye inyungu ziteganijwe muri 2024, biragaragara ko ibitekerezo byabashinzwe gufata ibyemezo bitandukanye cyane kandi bidafite aho bihuriye nubu.

Ikizwi ariko, ni uko Federasiyo yo gukomera izakomeza - hamwe no kuzamuka kw'ibiciro gukomeye.

 

Urakomeye ubu, niko bigufi

 

Wall Street yizera ko intego ya Federasiyo ari ugushiraho “ubukana, bugufi” bwo kugabanya ubukana amaherezo bizadindiza ubukungu mu rwego rwo gukonjesha ifaranga.

Icyerekezo cya Federasiyo y'ejo hazaza h'ubukungu, cyatangajwe muri iyi nama, gishyigikira iki gisobanuro.

Mu rwego rw’ubukungu, Federasiyo yavuguruye iteganyagihe ry’umusaruro rusange w’igihugu mu 2022 igabanuka cyane igera kuri 0.2% kuva kuri 1.7% muri Kamena, inavugurura hejuru iteganya ku gipimo cy’ubushomeri buri mwaka.

Inkomoko yishusho: Banki nkuru yigihugu

Ibi birerekana ko Banki nkuru yigihugu yatangiye guhangayikishwa nuko ubukungu bushobora kuba bwifashe nabi, kubera ko ubukungu n’akazi bigenda byiyongera.

Muri icyo gihe, Powell yavuze yeruye mu kiganiro n'abanyamakuru nyuma y’inama, ati: "Mugihe izamuka ry’ibiciro bikomeje, amahirwe yo kugwa byoroshye ashobora kugabanuka.

Fed yemera kandi ko izamuka ry’ibiciro by’ibitero rishobora gutera ihungabana n’amaraso ku masoko.

Muri ubu buryo ariko, Federasiyo irashobora kurangiza inshingano yo "kurwanya ifaranga" mbere yigihe, kandi izamuka ryibiciro rizarangira.

Muri rusange, igipimo cyizamuka cyikigereranyo gishobora kuba igikorwa "gikomeye kandi cyihuse".

 

Kuzamura igipimo cyinyungu birashobora kurangira mbere yigihe giteganijwe

Kuva uyu mwaka, izamuka ry’ibiciro ryakozwe na Federasiyo ryageze kuri 300bp, rifatanije n’umugambi w’akadomo kugira ngo gahunda yo kuzamura ibiciro izakomeza igihe runaka, imyifatire ya politiki mu gihe gito kandi ntizahinduka.

Ibi byavanyeho burundu ibitekerezo byisoko ko Federasiyo yihutira kwimuka kugirango byoroherezwe, kandi kugeza ubu, umusaruro w’inguzanyo z’imyaka icumi muri Amerika warashe hejuru, kandi uri hafi kugera kuri 3.7%.

Ariko ku rundi ruhande, Banki nkuru y’igihugu mu iteganyagihe ry’ubukungu ku bijyanye n’ubukungu bwifashe nabi, kimwe n’umugambi w’uduce twerekana umuvuduko w’inyungu wiyongera umwaka utaha biteganijwe ko uzagenda gahoro, bivuze ko inzira yo kuzamura inyungu z’inyungu, nubwo bikiri birakomeje, ariko umuseke wagaragaye.

Byongeye kandi, hari ingaruka zitinda muri politiki yo kuzamura igipimo cya Federasiyo, itarashyirwa mu bikorwa n’ubukungu, kandi mu gihe izamuka ry’ibiciro ritaha rizaba ryitondewe, inkuru nziza ni uko zishobora kurangira vuba.

 

Ku isoko ryinguzanyo, ntagushidikanya ko igipimo cyinyungu kizakomeza kuba kinini mugihe gito, ariko birashoboka ko impinduka zizahinduka umwaka utaha.