Ijambo rya Powell ryiminota umunani ryagize ubwoba
Umuhanda wose?
09/02/2022
Ni irihe banga ry'iri jambo?
Inama ngarukamwaka ya Jackson Hole izwi mu ruziga nk "inama ngarukamwaka y’abanyamabanki nkuru ku isi", ni inama ngarukamwaka y’abanyamabanki bakomeye bo ku isi kugira ngo baganire kuri politiki y’ifaranga, ariko kandi ubusanzwe abayobozi ba politiki y’ifaranga ku isi bagaragaza politiki y’ifaranga "umuyaga" vane "y'ejo hazaza.
Ni iki abashoramari bahangayikishijwe cyane n'iyi nama ngarukamwaka ya banki nkuru yabereye Jackson Hole?Nta gushidikanya, ijambo rya Powell nicyo kintu cyambere.
Umuyobozi wa Banki nkuru y’igihugu, Powell yavuze ku nsanganyamatsiko igira iti "politiki y’ifaranga n’ihungabana ry’ibiciro", amagambo 1300 gusa, mu gihe kitarenze iminota 10 yo kuvuga, ayo magambo yatumye isoko ryose ritera umuraba mwinshi.
Iri ni ijambo rya mbere Powell yavugiye mu ruhame kuva inama ya FOMC mu mpera za Nyakanga, kandi ishingiro ry’ijambo rye muri iki gihe ni amagambo abiri - ifaranga ryo hasi.
Twavuze muri make ibintu by'ingenzi bikurikira.
1. Amakuru y’ifaranga muri Nyakanga yazamutse mu buryo butangaje, uko ifaranga rikomeje kuba rikaze, kandi Banki nkuru y’igihugu ntizahagarika kuzamura ibiciro kugera ku nzego zibuza
Kugabanya ifaranga rishobora gusaba gukomeza politiki y’ifaranga mu gihe runaka, Powell ntabwo yemera ko isoko rishyiraho igiciro mu igabanywa ry’umwaka utaha.
Powell yashimangiye ko gucunga ibiteganijwe guta agaciro ari ngombwa kandi yongera gushimangira ko umuvuduko w’izamuka ry’ibiciro ushobora gutinda mu gihe runaka kizaza
"Urwego rubuza?"Ibi bimaze kuvugwa n'abayobozi bakuru ba Federasiyo: igipimo ntarengwa kizaba "hejuru ya 3%."
Igipimo cya politiki ya Banki nkuru y’ubu ni 2,25% kugeza kuri 2.5%.Muyandi magambo, kugirango ugere kurwego rwigipimo kibuza, Federasiyo izamura inyungu byibuze byibuze amanota 75 shingiro.
Muri rusange, Powell yasubiyemo mu buryo butigeze bubaho mu buryo bwa Hawkish ko "ifaranga ridahagarara, izamuka ry’ibiciro ntirihagarara" anaburira ko politiki y’ifaranga idakwiye koroherezwa vuba.
Powell nka hawkish, kuki imigabane yo muri Amerika itinya gutemba?
Powell yamaze iminota umunani gusa yijambo rye yangiza rwose isoko ryimigabane muri Amerika kuva muri Kamena.
Mubyukuri, amagambo ya Powell ntaho atandukaniye cyane nibyo yavuze mbere, ariko gusa ashikamye mubitekerezo hamwe nijwi rikomeye.
None se niki cyateye ihungabana rikomeye ku masoko yimari?
Imikorere y'isoko nyuma yo kuzamuka kw'ibiciro muri Nyakanga ntagushidikanya ko imiyoborere ya Federasiyo yananiwe.Amahirwe yo kudindiza izamuka ryigihe kizaza yashyize amanota 75 yibanze kubusa.
Isoko rifite ibyiringiro birenze urugero, ariko amagambo yose ya Powell adahwitse bihagije azasobanurwa ko ari dovish, ndetse no mu ijoro ryabanjirije inama, bisa nkaho hari ibyiringiro bidasubirwaho ko imvugo ya Federasiyo izahinduka.
Icyakora, ijambo Powell yavuze muri iyo nama ryakanguye isoko rwose, kandi risenya ibintu byose byari bisanzwe bidashoboka.
Hariho imyumvire igenda yiyongera ko Federasiyo itazahindura uko ihagaze kugeza igihe igeze ku ntego yayo yo kurwanya ifaranga ry’ifaranga kandi ko inyungu z’inyungu zishobora kugumaho mu gihe gikomeye, aho kugabanya ibiciro byari byavuzwe mbere bishobora gutangira muri hagati y'umwaka utaha.
Birashoboka ko ingingo shingiro ya 75 Nzeri izamuka
Nyuma y’inama, umusaruro w’imyaka 10 y’imari y’imari ya Leta wari hejuru ya 3%, kandi ihinduka ry’umusaruro w’inguzanyo w’imyaka 2 kugeza ku myaka 10 ryiyongereye, aho bishoboka ko izamuka ry’amanota fatizo 75 muri Nzeri ryazamutse rikagera kuri 61% kuva 47% mbere.
Inkomoko yishusho: https://www.cmegroup.com/ubucuruzi/inyungu-ibikorwa/ibara-kuri-fomc.html
Ku munsi w’inama, mbere y’ijambo rya Powell, Ishami ry’Ubucuruzi ryatangaje ko igipimo cy’ibiciro bya PCE ku mikoreshereze y’umuntu ku giti cye cyazamutseho 6.3% umwaka ushize muri Nyakanga, munsi ya 6.8% byari biteganijwe muri Kamena.
Nubwo amakuru ya PCE yerekana kugereranya kuzamuka kwizamuka ryibiciro, amahirwe yo kuzamuka kwamanota 75 shingiro muri Nzeri ntagomba gusuzugurwa.
Ibi ni bimwe kubera ko Powell yashimangiye inshuro nyinshi mu ijambo rye ko hakiri kare gufata umwanzuro ko "ifaranga ryamanutse" hashingiwe ku mezi make gusa.
Icya kabiri, ubukungu bukomeje gukomera kuko GDP hamwe namakuru yakazi yakomeje kuvugururwa hejuru, bigabanya ubwoba bwisoko ryubukungu.
Inkomoko y'amashusho:
Nyuma yiyi nama, birashoboka ko hazabaho impinduka muburyo ibiteganijwe byerekeza kuri politiki ya Federasiyo.
"Icyemezo mu nama yo muri Nzeri kizaterwa n’imibare rusange n’ubukungu bwifashe," mu gihe ikibazo cy’ubukungu n’ifaranga ridahungabana, "vuga bike kandi urebe byinshi" bishobora kuba amahitamo meza kuri Banki nkuru y’igihugu.
Amasoko arayobya cyane kuruta ikindi gihe cyose muri uyu mwaka, kandi icyiciro cya nyuma cyakazi namakuru y’ifaranga mbere yinama y’ibipimo byo muri Nzeri bizaba ingenzi cyane.
Turashobora gutegereza gusa tukareba kuri aya makuru kandi niba ashobora guhungabanya izamuka ry’amanota 75 yamaze kugenwa muri Nzeri.
Itangazo: Iyi ngingo yahinduwe na AAA LENDINGS;amwe mumashusho yakuwe kuri enterineti, umwanya wurubuga ntuhagarariwe kandi ntushobora gusubirwamo nta ruhushya.Hariho ingaruka ku isoko kandi ishoramari rigomba kwitonda.Iyi ngingo ntabwo igizwe ninama zishoramari kugiti cye, kandi ntizita ku ntego zihariye zishoramari, uko ubukungu bwifashe cyangwa ibikenerwa nabakoresha kugiti cyabo.Abakoresha bagomba gusuzuma niba ibitekerezo, ibitekerezo cyangwa imyanzuro ikubiye hano ihuye nibibazo byabo.Shora ukurikije ingaruka zawe.
Igihe cyo kohereza: Nzeri-03-2022