Mu buryo bw'imiterere, ishoramari rihamye ryaragabanutseho 1,2% kandi ryabaye ikintu kinini mu kuzamura ubukungu.

Kuva izamuka ry’ibiciro bya Federasiyo ryazamuye ibiciro byo kuguza, birumvikana ko ishoramari rihamye ryagabanuka.

Ku rundi ruhande, ibarura ryigenga ryagize uruhare runini mu kuzamura ubukungu mu gihembwe cya kane, ryazamutseho 1,46% ugereranyije n’igihembwe gishize, rihindura icyerekezo cyo kugabanuka mu bihembwe bitatu byashize.

Ibi bivuze ko ibigo bitangiye kuzuza ibarura ryumwaka mushya, bityo iterambere muri iki cyiciro ntiryari ryiza.

Irindi tsinda ryamakuru ryashimishije isoko: amafaranga yakoreshejwe ku giti cye yazamutseho 2,1% gusa mu gihembwe cya kane, munsi y’ibyateganijwe ku isoko rya 2.9%.

Nka moteri nyamukuru yiterambere ryubukungu, ikoreshwa nicyiciro kinini cya GDP muri Amerika (hafi 68%).

Kugabanuka kw'ikoreshwa ry'umuntu ku giti cye byerekana ko imbaraga zo kugura zifite intege nke amaherezo kandi ko abaguzi badafite ikizere mu bihe biri imbere by'ubukungu kandi ko badashaka gukoresha amafaranga yabo bwite.

Byongeye kandi, icyifuzo cy’imbere mu gihugu (usibye kubara, amafaranga leta ikoresha n’ubucuruzi) byiyongereyeho 0.2% gusa, umuvuduko wagabanutse uva kuri 1.1% mu gihembwe cya gatatu ndetse n’ubwiyongere buke kuva mu gihembwe cya kabiri cya 2020.

Kugabanuka kw'ibikenerwa mu gihugu no gukoresha, ni byo bigaragara cyane mu bukungu bukonje.

Sam Bullard, impuguke mu by'ubukungu muri Wells Fargo Securities, yemera ko iyi raporo ya GDP ishobora kuba amakuru ya nyuma meza, akomeye buri gihembwe tuzareba mu gihe gito.

 

Fed "inzozi zabaye impamo"?

Powell yavuze inshuro nyinshi ko kugwa mu bukungu byoroshye “bishoboka.”

"Kworoshya kugwa" bivuze ko Federasiyo ikomeza kugenzura ifaranga ryinshi mugihe ubukungu butagaragaza ibimenyetso byubukungu.

Mugihe imibare ya GDP ari nziza kuruta uko byari byitezwe, igomba kwemerwa: Ubukungu buragenda buhoro.

Umuntu yavuga kandi ko ubukungu bwifashe nabi bigoye kubyirinda, kandi ko GDP yatsinzwe bivuze gusa ko ubukungu bwifashe nabi mu gihe kizaza cyangwa ku rugero ruto.

Icya kabiri, ibimenyetso byubukungu bwagize ingaruka kumurimo.

Umubare w’ibisabwa bwa mbere ku nyungu z’ubushomeri muri Amerika wagabanutse kugeza ku mezi icyenda muri Mutarama, ariko muri icyo gihe umubare w’abantu bakomeje kubona amafaranga y’ubushomeri muri Amerika watangiye kongera kwiyongera.

Ibi bivuze ko abantu bake ari abashomeri bashya, ariko abantu benshi ntibabona akazi.

Byongeye kandi, igabanuka rikabije ry’igurisha ry’ibicuruzwa n’umusaruro w’uruganda mu mezi abiri ashize ni gihamya ko ubukungu buri mu kindi cyamanutse - ubukungu buracyari mu nzira y’ubukungu, kandi inzozi zo “kugwa hasi” zishobora kuba ingorabahizi. kubigeraho.

Bamwe mu bahanga mu by'ubukungu bemeza ko Amerika ishobora guhura n’ihungabana rikabije: igabanuka rikurikiranye ry’ibikorwa by’ubukungu mu nganda zinyuranye, aho kuba rimwe gusa.

 

Igabanuka ryinyungu riteganijwe vuba!

Igipimo cy’ibiciro by’umuntu ku giti cye (PCE), igipimo cy’ifaranga ryerekana inyungu nyinshi kuri Banki nkuru y’igihugu, cyazamutseho 3,2% mu gihembwe cya kane kuva umwaka ushize, umuvuduko w’ubwiyongere bukabije kuva mu 2020.

Hagati aho, muri kaminuza ya Michigan hateganijwe ko umwaka w’ifaranga ry’ifaranga ryakomeje kugabanuka muri Mutarama, bikamanuka kugera kuri 3.9%.

Ifaranga ry’ibanze ryateye imbere ku buryo bugaragara, ibyo bigabanya cyane igitutu kuri Banki nkuru y’igihugu - izamuka ry’ibiciro ntirishobora gukenerwa kandi hashobora kwitabwa cyane ku kuzamuka kw’ubukungu.

Dushingiye kuri GDP, ku ruhande rumwe tubona buhoro buhoro izamuka ry’ubukungu, naho ku rundi ruhande, kubera ko ubukungu bwifashe nabi, Federasiyo izamura gusa inyungu mu buryo buciriritse mu gice cya mbere cy’umwaka kugira ngo igere ku bworoheje. birashoboka kugwa mubukungu.

Ku rundi ruhande, iki gishobora kuba igihembwe cya nyuma cy’ubwiyongere bukomeye bwa GDP, kandi niba ubukungu bwifashe nabi mu gice cya kabiri cy’umwaka, Federasiyo ishobora kuba igomba kwimuka mbere y’umwaka urangiye, kandi biteganijwe ko igabanuka ry’ibiciro. vuba.

Abahanga mu bukungu bavuga kandi ko kubera iterambere ry’ikoranabuhanga no gukorera mu mucyo politiki ya Federasiyo, ingaruka zitinze z’izamuka ry’ibiciro ntiziri mu bihe byashize, bigatuma amasoko y’imari ateganya ibiciro bitewe n’ibiteganijwe ku isoko.

Mu gihe Federasiyo idindiza umuvuduko w’izamuka ry’ibiciro, igipimo cy’inguzanyo cyagabanutse, kandi amazu mashya yazamutse mu kwezi kwa gatatu yikurikiranya mu Kuboza, byerekana ko isoko ry’amazu rishobora gutangira gukira.

 

Niba hateganijwe kugabanuka kwinyungu, isoko nayo izateganya ibiciro, kandi igipimo cyinguzanyo kizagabanuka vuba.